He isn’t wrong, but the pathways is by taxing the absolute fuck out of billionaires
It’s grifting, pure and simple. All those things may be possible but Sam Altman is spewing this line of bullshit to keep the venture capital flowing into his company.
It’s delusional. The problems we have are not caused by lack of technology and cannot be solved by new technology.
Healthy optimism
Sure. Just need to get a bunch of trillions hoarded away by billionaires and throw it at R&D to solve these problems and I bet it would happen.
These rich fuckers making proclamations like that yet somehow still expecting someone else to pay for the solutions.
Abundance is already here, tons of food are destroyed and thrown out when they accidentally make too much while people are starving, there’s no money in abundance, it’s the artificial lack of supply that keeps prices high and profits soaring.
It’s just bait for investors. This is the kind of crap that gets people with money and zero understanding of computers to buy stocks.
We already have that abundance. It’s just waiting to be liberated.
I think he believes what he’s saying. From his perspective AGI will be great, and a lot of people think that AI and quantum computing will have a feedback loop where AI will help us create a better quantum computer which will make a better AI and so on…
Down here in the filth though, we’re going to go through mass unemployment, rapid shifts in markets, loss of privacy due to increasingly sophisticated AI powered surveillance, and complete loss of our freedom of speech.
So, all that stuff probably will happen to people like him. Just not us.
AI will help us create a better quantum computer which will make a better AI
Current “AI” is just LLMs. They don’t need some crazy quantum supercomputer. They aren’t improved by more processing power.
They need a ton of data to work at a basic level. There’s no reason to think that future programs will just get better on their own. Especially if a lot of data is now LLM generated. They have no capacity to learn on their own through research.
The irony of repeating the exact same thoughts as every thread like this contains, about how because it’s just a sophisticated “parrot” then it cannot be intelligent 😂
The current state of capitalism will ensure the second line never sees the light of day
deregulated capitalism is a curse on society
Said looking at one regulated to almost mercantilist levels.
Are you stupid?
I believe the first paragraph except colonizing space, at least not without hundreds of years of new technology at the human pace of invention.
We humans cannot even minimally adequately care for one another or this habitat, the one we evolved from, the most accommodating, self-correcting(to a point), resilient habitat that humanity will EVER know by far, and we’ve been fucking this easy situation up like breathing. Earth isn’t even the “enter your name” part of the interstellar civilization test, that would be colonizing our local moon. No, failing the Earth test is basically taking the test to the bathroom assuming it to be toilet paper.
Everything else in non-multigenerational reach will be completely and totally unforgiving. Even in the best circumstances, one person going stir crazy if we’re talking about sending real people can literally get everyone else killed, one major failure everybody dead, one major accident everybody dead.
Sorry, I know most of us are deluded into believing salvation comes from reckless attempts at ready fire aim growth, but if we don’t get this world fully squared away from the consequences of our reckless actions, find homeostasis and successfully meet the needs of the humans here on easy mode Earth, the idea that we can make colonies of hundreds or thousands on our Moon/Titan/Mars is a bad joke.
We can send 5-20 HIGHLY TRAINED perfect specimens to Mars or Titan to plant a flag and grow potatoes for a few years, and I’m all for that as a human rallying achievement, we really need one of those, but that isn’t the same thing as developing a true, sustainable presence on another world. We’ll have either long since decimated this habitat or pulled out a miracle of finding equilibrium with it long before we’re ready for that.
I believe none except colonising space… The others are so far off that we don’t even know for sure if they’re even possible, what’s going to go wrong or whether we’re looking in the complete wrong direction, meanwhile you’re dismissing the only realistic one in the next 250 years because we’re close enough that we actually know how hard it is.
There’s something to be said about chasing after things that are impossible as the possible seems too hard, but I’m not enough of a philosopher for that.
Knowing how hard something is can be a larger barrier than not knowing. But the main barrier preventing space colonies is the same thing preventing ocean colonies — “Why?”. What motivation is there to settle space? Exploration and experimentation can be done for motivation of seeing if we can, but settling needs known payoff both for the settlers and the funders.
Asteroid mining is the only current suggested motivation for such a thing. And it’s very possible that by the time we figure out asteroid capture, we won’t need humans present for that work.
